Rumors have been running rampant for quite some time that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s House seat may be in jeopardy thanks to the 2020 census – where New York may lose one House seat due to districts being redrawn.
Thus far the mainstream media in New York is keeping a tight lid on what is sure to become (if predictions hold true), the biggest political national news story after the presidential election in November.
The census had been used for countless generations to gauge the number of people residing within the United States, so that the government can determine based on those numbers, how it will allocate certain resources to perhaps add additional infrastructure projects, depending on population.
Last year the controversy over reincorporating back the “citizenship” question which had been used in previous questionnaires became a point of contention for many progressives attempting to keep that question off the forms, in order to gin up the numbers where Illegal aliens reside in mass.
Eventually, the Supreme Court weighed in on the controversy, and by a narrow 5 to 4 vote decided the U.S. census can ask about citizenship, but by a separate 5-4 vote decided to send the case back to the lower court.
However, after the court’s ruling, the President issued an executive order to all federal agencies to turn over documents and data regarding the number of non-citizens in the U.S. to the Commerce Department, thus assuring an accurate count of how many illegal aliens and non-citizens currently reside in the United States.
Most political pundits agree that a Census undercount in Ocasio-Cortez’ district due to an overall distrust by illegal aliens to accurately be counted could lead to the elimination of congressional districts, potentially setting off politically charged redistricting battles.
New York already is on track to lose up to two congressional seats during reapportionment due to population decline and a slower rate of growth, according to a December report by Election Data Services.
In a recent radio interview, the 29-year old upstart socialist acknowledged her precarious position regarding the likely loss of House seats, despite the city’s growth at a consistent pace. “I don’t know if that means that all of our districts are going to be redrawn dramatically, because they have been historically gerrymandered, or what will happen, but there’s certainly a possibility, if not a guarantee, that my district in the coming years will not look like my district today,” Ocasio-Cortez said. “So I think it’s entirely possible, and New York politics being what it is, we have no idea where things are going to go.”
A review of data and analysis by The Texas Tribune, suggests Ocasio-Cortez’ district could be particularly vulnerable to undercount because a little over a quarter of those living there are non-citizens. That’s a higher percentage than any other congressional district in the state.
Pollster and political pundit Frank Luntz, who recently completed an extensive survey concerning the redistricting issue, tweeted out.
“New York is expected to lose a House seat after the 2020 Census, and state Democrats are looking to draw out @AOC’s district.”
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) December 31, 2019
Moreover according to the Wall Street Journal, Democratic-held districts in California, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia are all expected to lose one Congressional District. While “red state” Texas will likely capture two additional districts.